Enron, Kyoto, Cap n Trade scam

We all know that the financial stakes are enormous in the global warming debate — many oil, coal and power companies are at risk should carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases get regulated in a manner that harms their bottom line. The potential losses of an Exxon or a Shell are chump change, however, compared to the fortunes to be made from those very same regulations.
The climate-change industry — the scientists, lawyers, consultants, lobbyists and, most importantly, the multinationals that work behind the scenes to cash in on the riches at stake — has emerged as the world’s largest industry. Virtually every resident in the developed world feels the bite of this industry, often unknowingly, through the hidden surcharges on their food bills, their gas and electricity rates, their gasoline purchases, their automobiles, their garbage collection, their insurance, their computers purchases, their hotels, their purchases of just about every good and service, in fact, and finally, their taxes to governments at all levels.
These extractions do not happen by accident. Every penny that leaves the hands of consumers does so by design, the final step in elaborate and often brilliant orchestrations of public policy, all the more brilliant because the public, for the most part, does not know who is profiteering on climate change, or who is aiding and abetting the profiteers.
Some of the climate-change profiteers are relatively unknown corporations; others are household names with only their behind-the-scenes role in the climate-change industry unknown. Over the next few weeks, in an extended newspaper series, you will become familiar with some of the profiteers, and with their machinations. This series begins with Enron, a pioneer in the climate-change industry.
Almost two decades before President Barack Obama made “cap-and-trade” for carbon dioxide emissions a household term, an obscure company called Enron — a natural-gas pipeline company that had become a big-time trader in energy commodities — had figured out how to make millions in a cap-and-trade program for sulphur dioxide emissions, thanks to changes in the U.S. government’s Clean Air Act. To the delight of shareholders, Enron’s stock price rose rapidly as it became the major trader in the U.S. government’s $20-billion a year emissions commodity market.
Enron Chairman Kenneth Lay, keen to engineer an encore, saw his opportunity when Bill Clinton and Al Gore were inaugurated as president and vice-president in 1993. To capitalize on Al Gore’s interest in global warming, Enron immediately embarked on a massive lobbying effort to develop a trading system for carbon dioxide, working both the Clinton administration and Congress. Political contributions and Enron-funded analyses flowed freely, all geared to demonstrating a looming global catastrophe if carbon dioxide emissions weren’t curbed. An Enron-funded study that dismissed the notion that calamity could come of global warming, meanwhile, was quietly buried.
To magnify the leverage of their political lobbying, Enron also worked the environmental groups. Between 1994 and 1996, the Enron Foundation donated $1-million to the Nature Conservancy and its Climate Change Project, a leading force for global warming reform, while Lay and other individuals associated with Enron donated $1.5-million to environmental groups seeking international controls on carbon dioxide.
The intense lobbying paid off. Lay became a member of president Clinton’s Council on Sustainable Development, as well as his friend and advisor. In the summer of 1997, prior to global warming meetings in Kyoto, Japan, Clinton sought Lay’s advice in White House discussions. The fruits of Enron’s efforts came soon after, with the signing of the Kyoto Protocol.
An internal Enron memo, sent from Kyoto by John Palmisano, a former Environmental Protection Agency regulator who had become Enron’s lead lobbyist as senior director for Environmental Policy and Compliance, describes the historic corporate achievement that was Kyoto.
“If implemented this agreement will do more to promote Enron’s business than will almost any other regulatory initiative outside of restructuring of the energy and natural-gas industries in Europe and the United States,” Polisano began. “The potential to add incremental gas sales, and additional demand for renewable technology is enormous.”
The memo, entitled “Implications of the Climate Change Agreement in Kyoto & What Transpired,” summarized the achievements that Enron had accomplished. “I do not think it is possible to overestimate the importance of this year in shaping every aspect of this agreement,” he wrote, citing three issues of specific importance to Enron which would become, as those following the climate-change debate in detail now know, the biggest money plays: the rules governing emissions trading, the rules governing transfers of emission reduction rights between countries, and the rules governing a gargantuan clean energy fund.
Polisano’s memo expressed satisfaction bordering at amazement at Enron’s successes. The rules governing transfers of emission rights “is exactly what I have been lobbying for and it seems like we won. The clean development fund will be a mechanism for funding renewable projects. Again we won …. The endorsement of emissions trading was another victory for us.”
Polisano’s hard work had paid off, thanks to the many allies Enron had enlisted. Deserving special emphasis was the environmental community, whose endorsement was crucial to Enron’s achievements at Kyoto.
“Enron now has excellent credentials with many ‘green’ interests including Greenpeace, WWF [World Wildlife Fund], NRDC [Natural Resources Defense Council], German Watch, the U.S. Climate Action Network, the European Climate Action Network, Ozone Action, WRI [World Resources Institute] and Worldwatch. This position should be increasingly cultivated and capitalized on (monetized),” Polisano explained.
With this company, Enron had been propelled to a leadership position at Kyoto. Polisano had been given no less than three occasions for speeches, including one on the role of business in promoting clean energy, and he had received an award on behalf of Enron: The Climate Institute honoured Kenneth Lay and Enron for their work promoting clean-energy solutions to climate change — the other recipients were Denmark’s energy and environment minister and the U.K.’s former environment minister. As Polisano noted: “Parenthetically, I heard many times people refer to Enron in glowing terms. Such praise went like this: ‘Other companies should be like Enron, seeking out 21st-century business opportunities,’ or ‘Progressive companies like Enron are …’ or ‘Proof of the viability of market-based energy and environmental programs is Enron’s success in power and SO2 trading.’”
Polisano’s three-page memo from Kyoto, which suggested that the Kyoto Protocol could work out even better than he had expected, stressed the need for urgency to capitalize on the opportunities that would now be on offer: “I now predict ratification within three years. I predict business opportunities within 18 months. I predict this agreement will have very significant influences on the energy sector within OECD and transitional economies and will accelerate renewable markets in developing countries. This agreement will be good for Enron stock!!”
The groundwork had been laid well, not least by entering into relationships with scientists who, Enron expected, would further its cause (James Hansen, the scientist who more than any other is responsible for bringing the possibility of climate-change catastrophe to the public, was among the scientists Enron commissioned). Just as shrewdly, Enron saw the importance in silencing the scientists who didn’t accept the alarmism that had driven the Kyoto Protocol. In a 1998 letter, Enron CEO Ken Lay, among others, asked president Clinton to appoint a bi-partisan “Blue-Ribbon Commission” designed to pronounce on the science and, in effect, marginalize the skeptics.
The precise commission that Lay demanded didn’t happen but the general marginalization of scientists did, and continues to occur to this day, with great success. Scientists who question the Kyoto Protocol invariably find themselves subject to public ridicule; all too often they find they are unable to obtain funding for their research, or even that their employment has been terminated.
Most of all, the skeptics are treated with suspicion, and accused of having been in the pay of the energy industry. The public in good part has accepted these accusations, its underlying assumption being that the fossil-fuel industry has the most at stake in climate-change policy. But if the public is to be skeptical of the influence that big money has over global-warming science, it should take the temperature anew, and recognize that the biggest money interest of all in the climate change debate lies with those poised to cash in on the climate-change policies of Kyoto and its successors.
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fascinating expose by the author..another reason to watch kinder morgan very closely as many enron players ended up there..kyoto is a world wide scam perpetuated to favour al gore and co and their hedge funds
“Greenpeace, WWF [World Wildlife Fund], NRDC [Natural Resources Defense Council], German Watch, the U.S. Climate Action Network, the European Climate Action Network, Ozone Action, WRI [World Resources Institute] and Worldwatch.”
watch those groups and who donates a lot of money to them and who runs them
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Not to sound like I don’t care….but how can we at least profit from this information.
While all these tree hugger liberal fools in the US run around and praise Obama, Gore, et al for being GREEN…we know the real truth.
Now, we just need to position ourselves to significantly profit from this.
just to reply to zippy…
to profit, i think we need to understand how ‘their’ profit system works. i dont profess to understand it, and ive never seen a working example, despite r advancing the theory and wp dedicated to it.
to think out loud,….all things have a beginning and end. firstly the bigger play is constructed (gw and carbon trading). within that framework many businesses are set up. the elites in the know get in early with investments and board positions. punters are then spun the yarn that makes them invest. when investment reaches a critical mass, and share price is at its highest, the elite will cash out. the market drops but for a different reason. there is a false flag event that drops the market to hide the elites withdrawal from the market. the company may survive for much longer (or not) , but its essence has gone. on a larger scale, gw will be discredited (as we know its a scam anyway) and as usual the elite will remove their loot from the industry long before the industry closes. you wont see them leave. some other event will mask them leaving the market.
my 2c.
reinhardt is explaining many things on RJ right now..the “how”
Metric-
Thanks. I do get the process of how they do it, I guess the timing is what we need to follow, and which companies they have set up, etc……I am afraid (for lack of a better term) that we the regular folk miss the opportunity to get in at the ground level. I am hoping with all the quality people here, and at WP we are at the forefront of the movement and position ourselves to benefit.
Curious, what is gw?
speaking of carbon trading scams, heres a working model…from a mainstream paper…oh dear…
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/home/moslive/article-1188937/The-great-carbon-credit-eco-companies-causing-pollution.html
“….But concerns are now being raised about this market approach to controlling emissions, with heavily polluting companies seemingly being financially rewarded. The hulk looming above Radha’s fields was the first factory in the world to profit from the UN scheme, and is something of a flagship project. Yet for the villagers, the scheme is rewarding the very factory that’s brought them misery….”
oh sorry, i should have looked closer to this post!
there is a sequel of the article about the insurance profiteers of this cap n trade scam.
you can find here:
http://network.nationalpost.com/np/blogs/fpcomment/archive/2009/06/06/lawrence-solomon-climate-insurance.aspx
i think its a series of articles..thanks mate
Would you describe the profit of the Big Five oil companies as chump change?
Exxon Mobil is now the most profitable corporation that ever existed and it continues to shatter its own profit records nearly every quarter. The Big Five oil companies earned profits of $230,000 per minute in 2007, and even more in 2008. They earn more per minute than what 96 percent of all Americans earn in a year. In fact, since 2004, the Big Five have made well over $500 billion in profits.
Despite these record-setting earnings, the Big Five continue to oppose the modest investment in clean energy. To ensure that they had the votes to prevail, their political action committees and employees donated more than $12.3 million in campaign contributions to Senators who are now members of Congress. They spent another $37.3 million on lobbying in 2007 alone. These investments had a huge return rate. Their senate allies were able to keep an 18 billion dollar tax break alive. That’s not just obscene and greedy, that’s robbery.
They received about $264 in tax breaks for every $1 they spent on lobbying and campaign contributions.
I certainly wouldn’t describe that as chump change.
Irrespective of your inherent bias towards scientists, professional science journals, and professional science organizations, the two most well respected scientific organizations on the planet are the American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS) and the National Academy of Science (NAS).
These aren’t nobodies. As far as scientific credibility is concerned, these organizations rank at the top of the spectrum, so it should be worth looking at exactly what they said. The AAAS and NAS called for significant and immediate action on climate change.
“The scientific evidence is clear: global climate change caused by human activities is occurring now, and it is a growing threat to society. Accumulating data from across the globe reveal a wide array of effects: rapidly melting glaciers, destabilization of major ice sheets, increases in extreme weather, rising sea level, shifts in species ranges, and more.”
“The pace of change and the evidence of harm have increased markedly over the last five years. The time to control greenhouse gas emissions is now.”
“As expected, intensification of droughts, heat waves, floods, wildfires and severe storms is occurring, with a mounting toll on vulnerable ecosystems and societies. The events are early warning signs of even more devastating damage to come, some of which will be irreversible.”
“Delaying action to address climate change will increase the environmental and societal consequences as well as costs. The longer we wait to tackle climate change, the harder and more expensive the task will be.”
“It is time to muster the political will for concerted action. Stronger leadership at all levels is needed. The time is now. We must rise to the challenge.”
Remember that this isn’t Al Gore talking, this is the AAAS. The AAAS has over 144,000 members, has been around since before the civil war, and is the publisher of the journal SCIENCE, the gold standard for peer-review. This isn’t your local save the stream organization, these are the guys that know what they are doing better than anyone else in the world, and their statement ends with an uncharacteristic call for action.
The NAS is pretty much the other crown jewel of scientific societies. This academy has 2100 members and has been around since 1863. Incidentally, one out of every ten members has a Nobel Prize. The NAS statement of June 2005 wasn’t just from the NAS, it was a joint statement made along with the National Science Academies of the G-8 (Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, Russia, the United Kingdom, and the United States). The National Science Academies of China, India, and Brazil were also part of this joint statement.
The NAS statement said:
“The scientific understanding of climate change is now sufficiently clear to justify nations taking prompt action.”
“We call on world leaders to acknowledge that the threat of climate change is clear and increasing, and recognize that delayed action will increase the risk of adverse environmental effects and will likely incur a greater cost.”
There you have the two most well respected scientific organizations on the planet along with the National Science Academies of pretty much every other major industrialized nation in the world all saying that:
· The globe is warming
· We are the ones doing it
· Its going to be bad
· We better do something about it quick
It’s also worth noting here that both the AAAS and the NAS explicitly endorsed the findings of the IPCC.
This isn’t Greenpeace talking, this is NAS. These are some of the stodgiest, most well trained intelligent people on the planet. I realize that they are not infallible like some, but, if you aren’t going to listen to what they have to say on a scientific issue, then you might as well forget about science to prove anything.
The Big Oil mob has known for a century that renewable energy would have a detrimental affect on their profitability, and they have been hard at work trying to prevent that from happening.
Every single fuel efficient car that gets produced will have a negative impact on their profitability, which explains why the average gas mileage for new vehicles in the United States has gone from 23.1 mpg in 1980 to 24.7 mpg in 2004, a paltry increase of slightly less than 7% over 25 years. It also explains why Hummer owners received massive tax breaks on their vehicles while fuel efficient vehicles received very little.
Americans currently consume 25% of all of the oil being produced in the entire world. Of that, 40% is being used to power motor vehicles. That’s about 9 million barrels per day being burned by cars and trucks.
In 1931, Thomas Edison said to Harvey Firestone:
“I’d put my money on solar energy. What a source of power! I just hope we don’t have to wait until oil and coal runs out before we tackle that.”
Thomas Edison wasn’t an environmentalist, but, he knew a good idea when he saw one.
Although Edison probably never could have imagined the impact that burning fossil fuels would have on our ecosystem, it’s just as he feared, we’ve had to wait to take advantage of the abundant renewable energy created by our natural environment. We have had to wait because until now Big Oil has had their way.
The Big Five oil companies now claim through advertising that they are committed to curbing carbon emissions. Their ads are so green, you might mistake some of them for an episode of Hinterland Who’s Who. Yet, the Big Five spent only one half of 1 percent of their profits on investments in clean alternative energy solutions. This is a small fraction of the overall investment in bio-fuels. Instead, they spent 38 percent of their profits, $171 billion, on stock buybacks.
It is a fact that Exxon Mobil has and continues to fund groups that deny the existence of climate change. For over a decade, they have done everything in their power to sabotage alternative energy competition.
The US House Committee on Oversight and Government Reform charged the Bush administration with interfering with federal climate science, in order to underplay the significance of global warming. The committee issued a report after a 16-month investigation and released a memo stating that documents “appear to portray a systematic White House effort to minimize the significance of climate change.”
An examination of thousands of pages of internal documents that the White House has been forced to relinquish under the Freedom of Information Act, as well as interviews with more than a dozen current and former administration scientists and climate-policy officials, confirms that the White House has implemented and industry-formulated disinformation campaign designed to actively mislead the American public on global warming and to forestall limits on climate polluters.
“Exxon Mobil has manufactured uncertainty about the human causes of global warming just as tobacco companies denied their product caused lung cancer,” said Alden Meyer, the Union of Concerned Scientists’ Director of Strategy & Policy. “A modest but effective investment has allowed the oil giant to fuel doubt about global warming to delay government action just as Big Tobacco did for over 40 years.”
Feel free to email me if you would like to discuss this further.
“It’s also worth noting here that both the AAAS and the NAS explicitly endorsed the findings of the IPCC. ”
that would be the IPCC who got their main figures from the CRU who are now exposed as liars and architects of a hoax of epic proportions
i share your wish for renewables and i have no problem with that and living a in a cleaner world..but i am 100% against a carbon credit currency being pushed onto the worlds economies to line the pockets of al gore and co..the oligarchs who thought up this scheme in the 90′s with ken lay of enron knew exactly what they were doing..and they hijacked the green movement and well meaning people to do it
climategate is the key here..CRU numbers are bogus and these numbers are given and used by the IPCC..hence their statistics are wrong..the world is actually cooling in the last 10 years and CRU have scratched their heads trying to work out how to hide that number..its written in the exposed emails..have a look..open your mind
..read ian plimers book as well
fwiw..i dont rate nobels..after obama was nominated for one 10 days after being in office..sort of loses the lustre off the prize eh?
we agree to disagree..in our western world we can do that without fear
Obama is overseeing the largest empire the world has ever recorded in known records today. He has recently sent in troops into Somalia and now advocates an expanison of troops into Afganistan. He said in his campaign that bringing the troops home will be his FIRST priority and what he will do FIRST. Obviously he lied.
Also—- Hitler won the Nobel Peace Prize too and was Time magazine’s Man of the Year. These people that hand out these prizes are obviously full of sh-t – as well as those recieving the prizes are full of sh-t too.
let me clarify. Hitler was nominated, not given. The critique of these nominees is lackluster to say the least.
dont forget al gore got gifted one to
Scientists have also warned that fish stocks throughout the world could be wiped out by 2048. Researchers warn in the journal Science that 90 percent of present-day marine fish, crustaceans, shellfish and other currently eaten species could vanish in 50 years if we keep fishing like we do.
Do you believe them, or do you believe that these warnings are part of a global conspiracy against fishermen?
With respect to the subject of Anthropomorphic Global Warming, my advice to you is to read everything.
Check out the sites that deny the reality of climate change and then check on http://www.sourcewatch.org to see who paid for those opinions. Don’t accept the word of people who pass themselves off as “skeptics.” Be skeptical yourself. Ask yourself what motive the scientific community has to gang up and invent a phony climate crisis. Then compare that to the motives that Exxon Mobil or Peabody Coal might have to deny that burning fossil fuels could irrevocably and indiscriminately change our existence on the planet.
Use your head.
Let me give you an illustration of what is happening in the climate change “debate”.
On one hand you have the world’s most accomplished and reputable scientists – more than 2,000 of whom have submitted research to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change – carefully weighing every pronouncement for accuracy and subjecting all of their research to peer-review before announcing it publicly. These people agree, unreservedly, that climate change is happening and is caused by human activity.
On the other hand, you have a huge and expensive public relations campaign denying that scientific consensus. This campaign is largely financed with money from energy companies like Exxon Mobil, which is then lightly laundered through “think tanks” like the Alexis de Tocqueville Institution or the Competitive Enterprise Institute or through industry front groups like the Science & Environmental Policy Project. The money is then passed along to “experts” like former tobacco scientist Dr. Fred Singer, who seems happy enough to be paid for his services, even if he is reticent to admit it after the fact.
This one isn’t even a close call.
In 1998, the New York Times exposed an American Petroleum Institute memo outlining a strategy to invest millions to “maximize the impact of scientific views consistent with ours with Congress, the media and other key audiences.” The document stated: “Victory will be achieved when…recognition of uncertainty becomes part of the ‘conventional wisdom.’”
Here we have the industry-funded think tank at its slimiest. Under the guise of doing good science, or of educating the public, they present as uncertain a scientific hypothesis that has more data and consensus behind it than most good hypotheses will ever get. They go with the “scientists are always skeptical” angle to say, hey, these thousands of scientists could all be wrong! It’s not proven 100% so … there’s still a chance it’s false! And when in doubt, “drill baby drill”!
Just ask yourself one simple question:
How many of the global warming deniers are funded by Exxon Mobil and the coal industry?
EVERY major scientific organization including the National Academy of Sciences are in agreement on this. Among those who also disagree with your assessment are the Royal Society of London and the Royal Society of Canada.
Perhaps you are not aware of the fact that the major scientific organizations do not take stands on something like this unless the consensus among their members is VERY strong. Note that the American Geophysical Union, a scientific society with a membership of 50,000 researchers, just STRENGTHENED their position on this issue.
Donald Kennedy, editor-in-chief of Science magazine, says, “We’re in the middle of a large uncontrolled experiment on the only planet we have.” And to back up his sense of certainty, he reported that Science had analyzed the 928 peer-reviewed climate studies published between 1993 and 2003 and found not a single one that disagreed with the general scientific consensus.
Thousands of scientists from countries around the world (with conflicting interests) somehow all agreed that it is very likely we’re contributing to a serious global problem.
Must be a global conspiracy, right?
That must also explain Canada’s northern coast opening up for the first time in recorded history, right?
Same for why most glaciers shrunk over the past hundred+ years, right?
How convincing are arguments that absolutely require thousands of scientists to be either stupid, or corrupt, or liars etc., when the damaging changes are happening right before our eyes?
harry: i can document dozens of stories in the world where temperatres are at their highest ever..you show a hot one i show a cool one..whos right?
why in the 80s were we told the world was cooling?
once again you havent addressed the leaked emails from CRU..you miss the point..scientists and countries have been using IPCC numbers to stake their positions on..we now know the figures are rubbish and their has been a 10 year cover up of information that doesnt comply with what they want to see..not what is actually found..once you comprehend this you will see why it doesnt matter who says what about climate change..the numbers and figures have been wrong..severely wrong..so this is the conspiracy of the century..many many well meaning people have been fooled..its a traversty and jones and co should be in jail..but guess what..they havent even resigned yet
remember pitdown man..the 40 year old hoax that was supposed to confirm evolution..then we find out its a sheeps jawbone..the whole world believed it to be true..this wont be the first or last time the world has been tricked into believing something that isnt true..like a flat earth perhaps
read this harry..its from the telegraph in the UK:
The reason why even the Guardian’s George Monbiot has expressed total shock and dismay at the picture revealed by the documents is that their authors are not just any old bunch of academics. Their importance cannot be overestimated, What we are looking at here is the small group of scientists who have for years been more influential in driving the worldwide alarm over global warming than any others, not least through the role they play at the heart of the UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).
Professor Philip Jones, the CRU’s director, is in charge of the two key sets of data used by the IPCC to draw up its reports. Through its link to the Hadley Centre, part of the UK Met Office, which selects most of the IPCC’s key scientific contributors, his global temperature record is the most important of the four sets of temperature data on which the IPCC and governments rely – not least for their predictions that the world will warm to catastrophic levels unless trillions of dollars are spent to avert it.
Dr Jones is also a key part of the closely knit group of American and British scientists responsible for promoting that picture of world temperatures conveyed by Michael Mann’s “hockey stick” graph which 10 years ago turned climate history on its head by showing that, after 1,000 years of decline, global temperatures have recently shot up to their highest level in recorded history.
Given star billing by the IPCC, not least for the way it appeared to eliminate the long-accepted Mediaeval Warm Period when temperatures were higher they are today, the graph became the central icon of the entire man-made global warming movement.
Since 2003, however, when the statistical methods used to create the “hockey stick” were first exposed as fundamentally flawed by an expert Canadian statistician Steve McIntyre, an increasingly heated battle has been raging between Mann’s supporters, calling themselves “the Hockey Team”, and McIntyre and his own allies, as they have ever more devastatingly called into question the entire statistical basis on which the IPCC and CRU construct their case.
The senders and recipients of the leaked CRU emails constitute a cast list of the IPCC’s scientific elite, including not just the “Hockey Team”, such as Dr Mann himself, Dr Jones and his CRU colleague Keith Briffa, but Ben Santer, responsible for a highly controversial rewriting of key passages in the IPCC’s 1995 report; Kevin Trenberth, who similarly controversially pushed the IPCC into scaremongering over hurricane activity; and Gavin Schmidt, right-hand man to Al Gore’s ally Dr James Hansen, whose own GISS record of surface temperature data is second in importance only to that of the CRU itself.
There are three threads in particular in the leaked documents which have sent a shock wave through informed observers across the world. Perhaps the most obvious, as lucidly put together by Willis Eschenbach (see McIntyre’s blog Climate Audit and Anthony Watt’s blog Watts Up With That), is the highly disturbing series of emails which show how Dr Jones and his colleagues have for years been discussing the devious tactics whereby they could avoid releasing their data to outsiders under freedom of information laws.
They have come up with every possible excuse for concealing the background data on which their findings and temperature records were based.
This in itself has become a major scandal, not least Dr Jones’s refusal to release the basic data from which the CRU derives its hugely influential temperature record, which culminated last summer in his startling claim that much of the data from all over the world had simply got “lost”. Most incriminating of all are the emails in which scientists are advised to delete large chunks of data, which, when this is done after receipt of a freedom of information request, is a criminal offence.
But the question which inevitably arises from this systematic refusal to release their data is – what is it that these scientists seem so anxious to hide? The second and most shocking revelation of the leaked documents is how they show the scientists trying to manipulate data through their tortuous computer programmes, always to point in only the one desired direction – to lower past temperatures and to “adjust” recent temperatures upwards, in order to convey the impression of an accelerated warming. This comes up so often (not least in the documents relating to computer data in the Harry Read Me file) that it becomes the most disturbing single element of the entire story. This is what Mr McIntyre caught Dr Hansen doing with his GISS temperature record last year (after which Hansen was forced to revise his record), and two further shocking examples have now come to light from Australia and New Zealand.
In each of these countries it has been possible for local scientists to compare the official temperature record with the original data on which it was supposedly based. In each case it is clear that the same trick has been played – to turn an essentially flat temperature chart into a graph which shows temperatures steadily rising. And in each case this manipulation was carried out under the influence of the CRU.
What is tragically evident from the Harry Read Me file is the picture it gives of the CRU scientists hopelessly at sea with the complex computer programmes they had devised to contort their data in the approved direction, more than once expressing their own desperation at how difficult it was to get the desired results.
The third shocking revelation of these documents is the ruthless way in which these academics have been determined to silence any expert questioning of the findings they have arrived at by such dubious methods – not just by refusing to disclose their basic data but by discrediting and freezing out any scientific journal which dares to publish their critics’ work. It seems they are prepared to stop at nothing to stifle scientific debate in this way, not least by ensuring that no dissenting research should find its way into the pages of IPCC reports.
Back in 2006, when the eminent US statistician Professor Edward Wegman produced an expert report for the US Congress vindicating Steve McIntyre’s demolition of the “hockey stick”, he excoriated the way in which this same “tightly knit group” of academics seemed only too keen to collaborate with each other and to “peer review” each other’s papers in order to dominate the findings of those IPCC reports on which much of the future of the US and world economy may hang. In light of the latest revelations, it now seems even more evident that these men have been failing to uphold those principles which lie at the heart of genuine scientific enquiry and debate. Already one respected US climate scientist, Dr Eduardo Zorita, has called for Dr Mann and Dr Jones to be barred from any further participation in the IPCC. Even our own George Monbiot, horrified at finding how he has been betrayed by the supposed experts he has been revering and citing for so long, has called for Dr Jones to step down as head of the CRU.
The former Chancellor Lord (Nigel) Lawson, last week launching his new think tank, the Global Warming Policy Foundation, rightly called for a proper independent inquiry into the maze of skulduggery revealed by the CRU leaks. But the inquiry mooted on Friday, possibly to be chaired by Lord Rees, President of the Royal Society – itself long a shameless propagandist for the warmist cause – is far from being what Lord Lawson had in mind. Our hopelessly compromised scientific establishment cannot be allowed to get away with a whitewash of what has become the greatest scientific scandal of our age.
And yet Harry the evidence points to fraud in the global change scientific field. So the big question is: With such fraud and as you might say ‘speculative fraud’ existing, then why jump the gun? Why push something through that scientists themselves debate and with recent developments it is becoming obvious that something wrong was happening there. Scientists that used to work at the Climate Center and quit working there are coming out and telling the public why they quit – because they said it wasn’t science. It was political. They wouldn’t allow any scientific data into their findings that conflicted with government agendas. So the least that SHOULD happen is a full investigation. A full scientific peer review and thus overview of all the facts. A complete study that includes a scientific field of open data sharing instead of their monopoly hiding of data – that’s NOT science. And yet politicans are going to enact something based not on reason – not on science – but on turmoil, speculation, and not on anything that is intellectually solid. Let science do science. The political wills that be are knee-jerking and drooling at the mouth too much on this one.
I highly doubt that any of the revelations coming from these emails will alter the huge body of evidence that comes from a variety of scientific fields that supports the conclusion that modern climate change is caused largely by human activity.
Easier to document, however, is the fact that the 1990s proved to be the warmest decade in a millennium.
Do you remember, once upon a time, how tobacco companies intentionally blurred the links between smoking and cancer, even when they knew full well that the link was strong and credible?
More than fifty years ago, doctors at the UK’s Medical Research Council published a scientific paper that was truly ground-breaking. They revealed that smoking can cause lung cancer. It was the first time the link had been confirmed. The findings were to change the minds and lives of millions of people around the world.
In 1954, 80% of British adults smoked. Today, that figure is 26%.
Sir Richard Doll was one of the men behind that pioneering study which arguably helped to save millions of lives. It would have saved more, had the tobacco companies not spent a fortune producing bogus counter evidence to unfavourable findings, or, at least, help to keep the debate alive. Their scheming finally came to an end about ten years ago when it was all exposed.
The Tobacco Institute was the umbrella trade and lobbying association for the U.S. tobacco industry. The Tobacco Institute is to the tobacco industry what the American Petroleum Institute is to the oil industry.
As a result of the settlement of a legal action brought against the tobacco industry by the U.S. National Association of Attorneys General (NAAG) that resulted in the Master Settlement Agreement in 1998, the Institute was forced to disband and its internal records were placed on a searcheable website.
The purpose of the Institute was to defeat legislation unfavourable to the tobacco industry, put a positive spin on the industry, bolster the industry’s credibility with legislators and the public and help maintain the controversy over “the primary issue” (the health issue).
An 8-page “Status Report and Update” from the Institute dated 1976 describes the function of the Institute with relation to its member companies [from Page 3]:
…the Institute acts as official spokesman for the industry, always reflecting official [strategy] position agreed upon by all members.
The report summarizes the disinformation campaign conducted by the Institute on behalf of the American cigarette manufacturers [from Page 6]:
In summation, then, the basic public relations strategy of American manufacturers responding to the smoking and health controversy is funneled through the Tobacco Institute and concentrates on the following techniques and practices:
(1) Publicizing scientific research funded by the industry which produces counter evidence to unfavourable findings or, at least, helps to keep the question open,
(2) Conducting public information campaigns against the claims of anti-cigarette groups and individuals.
The tobacco industry was employing a broad range of public relations tactics to keep citizens of the U.S. from concluding that smoking was, in fact, dangerous.
In 1988 Tobacco Institute President Samuel D. Chilcote, Jr., in a briefing for the Institute Chairman about progress the Institute was making against the anti-tobacco movement at that time, stated that the “primary mission [of the Tobacco Institute] is to defeat legislation.” The Institute was highly effective at defeating legislation. Chilcote stated that between 1979 and 1987 the industry faced 583 bills of concern to the industry nationwide, and defeated or postponed 93% of them.
The big oil companies are using the exact same play book, only their pockets are even deeper.
According to Fortune’s 2007 Global 500 listing, the ten largest global oil companies took in over $167 billion in profits in 2006 alone, nearly $50 billion more than the top ten companies in the second most profitable industry, commercial and savings banks.
The largest publicly traded oil companies operating in the United States and those with the greatest influence on U.S. policy- making are ExxonMobil, Shell, BP, Chevron, Conoco-Phillips, Valero (the forty-third largest global corporation), and Marathon (the ninety- second largest global corporation). Each is either a direct descendant or has purchased direct descendants of Standard Oil. They are among the most powerful corporations in the world. These companies are Big Oil.
Big Oil is experiencing a level of power that has only one historical precedent: that of the Standard Oil era. And like Standard Oil, the companies appear willing to do anything to maintain their position. With over $40 billion in pure profit in 2007, ExxonMobil is the most profitable corporation both in the world and in world history. Its profits are larger than the entire economies of ninety-three of the world’s nations ranked by GDP. ExxonMobil had the most profitable year of any corporation ever in 2003 and then proceeded to surpass its own record every year for the next five years.
Shell and BP are headquartered in The Hague and London, respectively, but each has powerful, influential, and sizable American affiliates. Each is a leading U.S. campaign spender, heavily influencing and benefiting from the American political system. Shell and BP, combined with the Big Five, made an incredible and unprecedented $133 billion in pure profit in 2007, the equivalent of the combined GDPs of the forty-two poorest nations in the world, including Fiji, Kyrgyzstan, Bhutan, and Sierra Leone.
What does $133 billion in profits buy an industry?
It bought the oil industry at least eight years of a U.S. “oligarchy”: a government ruled by a small number of oil interests. The oil industry spent more money to get the George W. Bush administration into office in 2000 than it has spent on any election before or since. In return it received, for the first time in American history, a president, vice president, and secretary of state who are all former oil company officials. Every agency and every level of bureaucracy was filled with former oil industry lobbyists, lawyers, staff, board members, and executives, or those on their way to work for the oil industry after a brief stint of government service. The oil industry got what it paid for: an administration that has arguably gone further than just about any other in American history to serve Big Oil’s interests through deregulation, lax enforcement, new access to America’s public lands and oceans, subsidies, tax breaks, and even war.
Even Allan Greenspan admits the war was primarily about oil.
I would love a full investigation. I would love to see the Petroleum Institute’s internal records placed on a searcheable website.
Back to the playbook:
(2) Conducting public information campaigns against the claims of anti-cigarette groups and individuals..
Replace “anti-cigarette groups” with “98% of the worlds’ leading experts on global warming/climate change” and you have what is happening right now.
I’m sure you have heard of James Hansen.
James Hansen, head of NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies in New York, says the public is being lied to and duped by special interest groups about the severity of the threat that global warming poses. He also claims that policy makers and big oil executives are sacrificing public interest to line their own pockets.
Does this really sound so totally far-fetched to you?
Despite what sceptics have to say about Dr. Hansen, the director of the National Aeronautics and Space Administration’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies in New York, his scientific peers just reviewed him, and gave him an award.
From the commemorative brochure published at the time of the awards’ presentation:
“Dr. Hansen has collected and analyzed global surface temperatures and studied the earth’s atmosphere since the 1970s. The advocacy role he has undertaken has placed him squarely in the uncomfortable role of serving as lightening rod in the debate. He is respected among his peers for his creativity, his intellectual rigor and flexibility, and his dogged pursuit of this pressing global problem.
He calmly pursues his research while scrupulously maintaining his scientific credibility and modifying his views as new data and techniques have become available, all the while acting as a messenger from the esoteric world of computer climate models to the public and policymakers alike.”
The last time I checked, they don’t hire crackpots to direct the Goddard Institute.
Back to the play book:
The Bush Administration attacked Hansen on several fronts, but the most frustrating attack was perhaps its outright attempt to silence scientific reports like the U.S. National Assessment of the Potential Consequences of Climate Variability and Change. This multi-volume assessment mandated by the Global Change Research Act of 1990, included a decade of thorough scientific study. Shortly after George W Bush became president, the White House barred government scientists from using its contents or even referring to it. In a severe “conflict of interest” move that has defined the Bush administration, oil industry lobbyist Philip Cooney was appointed chief of staff at the White House Council on Environmental Quality. Cooney resigned from the CEQ when he was caught changing data and deleting scientific information from reports in 2005. Immediately after his resignation he was hired by Exxon Mobil.
Were you aware of this? This is proven stuff.
Hansen says the chief executives of large fossil fuel companies should be put on trial for “high crimes against humanity”. He says their agenda to cause public confusion about very real and legitimate science is nothing less than criminal.
Why jump the gun?
Republican Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger said it best:
“Well, as I said, that I believe the scientists. It is like when my child is sick and has a huge fever, and I go to 100 doctors, and 98 doctors says this child needs immediate medical care, and 2 say no, forget it, go home and just relax, I go with the 98. It’s as simple as that”.
harry: how come you can understand a conspiracy of tobacco companies and oil companies..but you cant consider a conspiracy of carbon?..why is that so difficult?..by your own writings you have confirmed that global conspiracies are alive and kicking..and to just ignore the outrageous emails out of CRU is just being lazy..they supplied the data that the IPCC uses..their data is bullshit hence the IPCC numbers are worthless..and you say thats not important..you yourself have quoted the IPCC..now we know the CRU have been organising false numbers and ostracising anyone didnt agree 100% with them..thats a conspiracy
have you read about the treaty they want all countries to sign in copenhagen….there is so much more to this than just climate change..much much more..as i said before..the carbon credit currency supporters have hijacked the green lobby and you have all been taken for a ride courtesy of al gore and co.
one more thing harry..do you know anything about the Phoenix project? just curious
Independent scientists aren’t well known for having heaps of cash.
Since 2001, 32 national science academies have come together to issue joint declarations confirming anthropogenic global warming, and urging the nations of the world to reduce emissions of greenhouse gases.
Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Cameroon, Canada, the Caribbean, China, France, Ghana, Germany, Indonesia, Ireland, Italy, India, Japan, Kenya, Madagascar, Malaysia, Mexico, Nigeria, New Zealand, Russia, Senegal, South Africa, Sudan, Sweden, Tanzania, Uganda, United Kingdom, United States, Zambia, and Zimbabwe.
If I listed the statements of all of the other scientific academies, associations, etc…, that are in agreement on this I could fill a book.
Let me give you an example of just one scientist out of the thousands:
Dr. Stephen H. Schneider is the Melvin and Joan Lane Professor for Interdisciplinary Environmental Studies, Professor of Biological Sciences, Professor (by courtesy) of Civil and Environmental Engineering, and a Senior Fellow in the Woods Institute for the Environment at Stanford University. Dr. Schneider received his Ph.D. in Mechanical Engineering and Plasma Physics from Columbia University in 1971. He studied the role of greenhouse gases and suspended particulate material on climate as a postdoctoral fellow at NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies. He was awarded a postdoctoral fellowship at the National Center for Atmospheric Research in 1972 and was a member of the scientific staff of NCAR from 1973-1996, where he co-founded the Climate Project.
Internationally recognized for research, policy analysis and outreach in climate change, Dr. Schneider focuses on climate change science, integrated assessment of ecological and economic impacts of human-induced climate change, and identifying viable climate policies and technological solutions. He has consulted with federal agencies and/or White House staff in the Nixon, Carter, Reagan, G.H.W. Bush, Clinton and G.W. Bush administrations.
Actively involved with the IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change), an initiative of the United Nations Environment Program and the World Meteorological Organization since its origin in 1988, Dr. Schneider was co-author of “Uncertainties in the IPCC Third Assessment Report: Recommendations to Lead Authors for More
Consistent Assessment and Reporting” in 2000 and the cross-cutting theme paper #4: “Assessing the Science to Address UNFCCC Article 2″ in 2004. He has been a contributor to all four IPCC Assessment Reports and is currently a Coordinating Lead Author of Working Group II Chapter 19, “Assessing Key Vulnerabilities and the Risk from Climate Change.” For the 2001 IPCC Third Assessment Report (TAR) and the 2007 Fourth Assessment Report (AR4), Dr. Schneider has also been a member of the Core Writing Team for each of the Synthesis Reports, which integrate the contributions of Working Groups I, II and III. The 2007 IPCC Fourth Assessment Report will be used by governments world-wide as the most up-to-date, credible document regarding climate change science, impacts, adaptation, vulnerability, and mitigation until 2012. After decades of work, Dr. Schneider, along with four generations of IPCC authors, received a collective Nobel Peace Prize for their joint efforts in 2007.
In 1991, Dr. Schneider was awarded the American Association for the Advancement of Science/ Westinghouse Award for Public Understanding of Science and Technology for furthering public understanding of environmental science and its implications for public policy. In 1992, he was honoured with a MacArthur Fellowship for his ability to integrate and interpret the results of global climate research through public lectures, classroom teaching, environmental assessment committees, media appearances, Congressional testimony and research collaboration with colleagues. In 1998, Dr. Schneider became a foreign member of the Academia European, Earth & Cosmic Sciences Section. He was elected to membership in the US National Academy of Sciences in 2002. Dr. Schneider received the Edward T. Law Roe Award of the Society of Conservation Biology in 2003. He and his spouse-collaborator, Terry Root, jointly received the 2003 National Conservation Achievement Award from the National Wildlife Federation and the Banksias Foundation 2006 International Environmental Award in Australia.
Dr. Schneider is Founder and Editor of the interdisciplinary journal, Climatic Change, Editor-in-Chief of the Encyclopaedia of Climate and Weather and author of The Genesis Strategy: Climate and Global Survival; Global Warming: Are We Entering the Greenhouse Century?, The Co-evolution of Climate and Life and Laboratory Earth: The Planetary Gamble We can’t Afford to Lose. A In addition, he has authored or co-authored over 400 scientific papers, proceedings, legislative testimonies, edited books and book chapters, and over 200 book reviews, editorials and other pieces for popular media.
Dr. Schneider teaches undergraduate and graduate courses in Earth Systems, Civil Engineering, Biological Sciences, the Senior Honours Seminar in Environmental Science, Technology and Policy, and the doctoral program, The Interdisciplinary Graduate Program in Environment and Resources (IPER), as well as guides the work of Ph.D. candidates, post-doctoral scholars, and other researchers. He has served as Co-Director of the Stanford Center for Environmental Science and Policy (CESP) from 2002 to 2007 and Co-Director of IPER, from 2003 to 2005.
That was the short version of this man’s credentials.
Currently, Dr. Schneider is counselling policy makers about the importance of using risk management strategies in climate-policy decision making, given the uncertainties in future projections of global climate change and related impacts. In addition to continuing to serve as advisor to decision-makers, he consults with corporate executives and other stakeholders in industry and the non-profit sectors regarding possible climate-related events and is actively engaged in improving public understanding of science and the environment through extensive media communication and public outreach.
Here is what Stephen H. Schneider Ph.D. – Professor at Stanford University has to say:
“A handful of “contrarian” scientists and public figures who are not scientists have challenged mainstream climatologists’ conclusions that the warming of the last few decades has been extraordinary and that at least part of this warming has been anthropogenically induced. What must be emphasized here is that, despite the length of this section, there are truly only a handful of climatologist contrarians relative to the number of mainstream climatologists out there”.
The world’s largest general scientific society, the American Association for the Advancement of Science adopted an official statement on climate change in 2006:
“The scientific evidence is clear: global climate change caused by human activities is occurring now, and it is a growing threat to society….The pace of change and the evidence of harm have increased markedly over the last five years. The time to control greenhouse gas emissions is now.”
Without even considering coal, do you understand just how much oil is being burned in the world right now?
According to David O’Reilly the CEO of CHEVRON, the world currently consumes oil at a rate of about 40,000 US gallons per second. He says, “the scale of the energy system is enormous.”
You can watch his interview here:
So, I did some math.
1 barrel of oil = 42 US gallons
1 cubic meter = 264.172052 US gallons
According to the 2008 World Fact-book, the world currently consumes about 85,270,000 barrels of oil per day.
85,270,000 barrels per day x 42 US gallons per barrel = 3,581,340,000 US gallons per day = 149,222,500 US gallons per hour = 2,487,042 US gallons per minute = 41,451 US gallons per second.
So, Mr. O’Reilly was right when he said that the world consumes about 40,000 US gallons of oil per second.
41,451 US gallons of oil per second = approximately 157 cubic meters of oil per second.
Imagine a river of oil.
I thought it might interesting to see just how much oil we are talking about here, so I compared the amount of oil that we are currently burning in the world to the amount of water that flows in various waterfalls.
I used average yearly flow rate figures.
The flow rate of Jog Falls was fairly close with a flow rate of about 153 cubic meters per second, a little less than our imaginary river of oil.
You can see a picture of what 153 cubic meters per second looks like here:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jog_Falls
Now imagine it on fire. To adamantly insist that it couldn’t have an impact is irrational.
never said it had no impact and you know that..its the size of the impact thats the sticking point..and the so called “solution”
Wow, Harry sounds like a lobbyist for the global warming crowd to me….or an investor?
harry..here is your precious dr schneider:
“To capture the public imagination,
we have to offer up some scary scenarios,
make simplified dramatic statements
and little mention of any doubts one might have.
Each of us has to decide the right balance
between being effective,
and being honest.”
- Leading greenhouse advocate, Dr Stephen Schneider
( in interview for “Discover” magagzine, Oct 1989)
http://www.john-daly.com/schneidr.htm
owned?
During the Ice Age Scare of the 1970s, Schneider was one of it’s foremost advocates. He published a book titled “The Genesis Strategy” at this time, warning of the coming glaciation, and wrote glowing a testimonial on the back cover of a popular `Ice Age’ book of the time – (Ponte, Lowell. “The Cooling”, Prentice Hall, N.J., USA, 1976), in which the author claimed that the climatic cooling from 1940 to the 1970s was but the precursor to the main event – the coming Ice Age.
The oil industry was created by a dry-goods merchant in Cleveland, not by whale-oil harvesters in New England.
Are you familiar at all with the history of Standard Oil and the Rockefeller family?
No family in American history has possessed more wealth, or has been more conflicted over ethical obligations and what to do with heaps and heaps of cash than the Rockefellers who are now enjoying their sixth generation of good fortune.
There are more than 100 Rockefeller descendants that hold a significant stake in Exxon Mobil Corporation through a variety of trusts.
Have you heard of the Rockefeller Foundation?
It is the second-oldest major philanthropic institution in America after the Carnegie Corporation. It was founded by John D. Rockefeller (“Senior”), along with his son John D. Rockefeller, Jr. (“Junior”), and Senior’s principal business and philanthropic advisor, Frederick T. Gates, in New York State in 1913.
Some of its achievements include:
• Financially supported education in the United States “without distinction of race, sex or creed”.
• Established the first schools of public health.
• Developed the vaccine to prevent yellow fever.
• Funded the original development of the social sciences.
• Supported the establishment of a large range of American and international cultural institutions.
• Funded agricultural development to expand food supplies around the world.
Although it is no longer the largest foundation by assets, the Rockefeller Foundation’s pre-eminent legacy ranks it among the most impactful and influential NGOs in the world.
The early institutions it set up have served as models for current organizations: the UN’s World Health Organization, set up in 1948, is modeled on the International Health Division; the U.S. Government’s National Science Foundation (1950) on its approach in support of research, scholarships and institutional development; and the National Institute of Health (1950) imitated its longstanding medical programs.
The central historical mission of the Rockefeller Foundation is, “to promote the well-being of mankind throughout the world.”
The Rockefeller family has always showed concern for mankind through their philanthropic organizations. That concern was recently put on full display when 66 members of the Rockefeller family held a rare and unusual press conference in Manhattan.
What do you think caused such a highly distinguished group of people, bred not to raise their voices too forcefully in public or brandish the family name as a weapon, to suddenly do the opposite and go public in such an exceptional manner?
The short answer is, they are worried.
In 2006, Rex Tillerson became the new CEO of Exxon Mobil following the retirement of Lee Raymond. At that time, about two-thirds of the Rockefeller the board. According to Neva Rockefeller Goodwin, one of the spokesmen for the Rockefeller family, “he was not responsive to that”. Neva Rockefeller Goodwin is the daughter of David Rockefeller Sr., the American statesman and the current patriarch of the Rockefeller family. At 94 years of age, he is the youngest and only surviving child of John D. Rockefeller Jr. and the only surviving grandchild of billionaire oil tycoon John D. Rockefeller, founder of Standard Oil.
When David Rockefeller Sr. was invited to lunch with Rex Tillerson and outgoing CEO Lee Raymond, he brought his daughter Neva along. According to her, she was told to behave herself and not say much. Since then, the board of Exxon Mobil and Tillerson have brushed off any Rockefeller family requests to engage on an issue that the family feels is extremely important. That issue is global warming and climate change.
So they went public.
The family members, who describe themselves as the company’s longest continuous shareholders, said they are concerned that the Irving, Texas-based company is too focused on short-term gains from soaring oil prices and should do more to invest in cleaner technology for the future. They feel that the company isn’t thinking outside the barrel to deal with climate change.
They said they’d like Exxon Mobil to be an agent of change, not an obstacle to it. In boosting investments in renewable energy and focusing on climate change, Exxon Mobil wouldn’t be succumbing to the sort of mushy, feel-good impulses that emanate from the Rockefeller Foundation, they argued. Rather, it would be going back to the future. The company needs to “reconnect with the forward-looking and entrepreneurial vision of my great-grandfather.” After all, kerosene was the “alternative energy of its day”.
What’s wrong with these people? Are they insane? Record profits year after year and they want change. They must stark raving mad, all of them.
Or, could it be that they realize that what 98% of the world’s leading climate scientists are saying is true?
Virtually all the good works conducted by John D. Rockefeller, and by his descendants, have been done by the non-profit foundations and philanthropic institutions he crated, not by the cut-throat, efficiency-seeking, profit before all else, machine that he built.
The Exxon Mobil machine is out of control.
So the Rockefellers reluctantly decided to call publicly on a resolution to have Exxon Mobil convene a task force to examine the company’s assumptions about growth markets and the consequences of global climate change on poor economies.
84% of John D. Rockefeller’s descendants signed on to this initiative.
The board voted it down.
Welfare-Warfare State.
Looks like the Rockefellars are pulling out the propaganda.
yeah wildy
harry, you can take your essays and put them where the sun dont shine mate..thx
You will have to move your head first, it’s in the way.
i have given you plenty of chances to address who you really are and come clean..because you have an ulterior motive to why you want carbon known as a pollutant..dont you?
you quote schneider..and yet dont address the fact he was an ice age is coming alarmist before he changed to a warming fever..completely discredited harry..owned
post normal length replies or i will ban you..i have no problem with other points of view but copying and pasting stuff from your writings is not cool k?
admit who you are so the readers can really assess why you are so pro AGW..harry4president?
I’m not that Harry Braun you knuckle-heads!
Are you guys ever in serious need of a paradigm shift.
Just so you know how nutty and way off base you are, I’m not even American, I’m Canadian. I live in Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada. Perhaps you’ve heard of it? We are hosting the 2010 Winter Olympics.
I seriously doubt that other guy would waste his time arguing here.
Furthermore, I have squat to gain or lose from any of this. You keep insinuating that anyone who disagrees with you must have some hidden gainful agenda, when in fact you seem to be the one more concerned about the money than the science.
You need to stop pretending that the hacked e-mails from a few scientists has proven global warming to be a hoax. They have not.
The work of a few scientists pales by comparison to the hundreds of thousands of studies done by tens of thousands of scientists all coming to the same conclusion — the Earth is getting warmer. Short-term trends do not disprove long-term scenarios and a few bad apples don’t spoil tens of thousands in the bunch.
If you can explain how hacked e-mails prove that the polar ice caps are not melting at an alarming rate, that would be something.
Early in the twentieth century the prevailing notion was that people could alter climates locally, for example cutting down forests and plowing fields, but not on a global scale.
A few pioneering thinkers suggested the increasing amount of pollution produced by the Industrial Revolution could cause global warming. But it was not until the world started taking precise measurements of carbon dioxide from a mountain in Hawaii in the late 1950s that it was possible to confirm the link with a rise in temperatures.
Carbon dioxide and other gases such as methane make up a tiny part of the atmosphere but are key to keeping in the world’s heat, rather like the glass of a greenhouse.
As the gases increase more heat is trapped, like a blanket, causing the greenhouse gas effect.
Scientists have proved the theory by looking at 800,000 years of ice cores which show how much carbon was in the atmosphere and what the temperature was.
Computer models, that can account for changes in weather patterns and solar activity, have also been used to show the link between greenhouse gases and temperature rise.
Furthermore, thousands of scenarios have been run over a number of years in a ‘super computer’ to come up with the current predictions by the Met Office that global warming will continue unless carbon dioxide is brought under control.
Met Office (originally an abbreviation for Meteorological Office, but now the official name in itself), is the United Kingdom’s national weather service.
The evidence became overwhelming two years ago after the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change issued a report by 152 scientists from 30 countries and reviewed by 600 experts that said global temperatures are increasing and it is very likely due to man-made greenhouse gases.
Skeptics have pointed out that temperatures have gone down in recent years. This is due to weather patterns like El Nino that caused a very hot year in 1998 and a cooler year in 2008. However, according to the Met Office, the overall global trend has seen temperatures creep up by an average of 0.7 degrees since pre-industrial times and the gauge will keep on rising to 1.4C even if we stop polluting tomorrow. The UK has experienced 9 of the 10 warmest years on record since 1990. Natural variability will continue to bring warm and cool years but, because of climate change, the warm years will be warmer and more frequent.
Although the initial impact of global warming is a rise in average temperatures around the world it also causes changes in rainfall patterns, rising sea levels and a change in storm frequency.
The Met Office will this week publish some of the data which it uses to analyze global warming. Information collected by more than 1,000 weather stations from across the world will be released, a spokesman said.
The Met Office’s database is a main source of analysis for the panel.
A Met Office spokesman said: “The Met Office does intend to release data from more than 1,000 weather stations.
“It will be available on our website.”
He said the Met Office had “every confidence” in the data which would show that global temperatures had warmed up over the last 150 years.
Further information may be released at a later date after the Met Office wrote to 188 countries for permission to publish the remainder of the historic data.
I’m not that Harry Braun you knuckle-heads!
Are you guys ever in serious need of a paradigm shift.
Just so you know how nutty and way off base you are, I’m not even American, I’m Canadian. I live in Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada. Perhaps you’ve heard of it? We are hosting the 2010 Winter Olympics.
(WE KNOW YOU LIVE IN CANADA..WE HAVE YOUR EMAIL ADDY..DUH)
I seriously doubt that other guy would waste his time arguing here.
(AND THAT IS YOUR ANSWER TO THE SCHNEIDER ACCUSATION?..SCHNEIDER WAS AN ICE AGE ALARMIST 30 YEARS AGO AND NOW YOU USE HIM TO CLAIM AGW IS REAL..DONT YOU SEE HOW STUPID YOU LOOK NOW?)
Furthermore, I have squat to gain or lose from any of this. You keep insinuating that anyone who disagrees with you must have some hidden gainful agenda, when in fact you seem to be the one more concerned about the money than the science.
(YES I AM CONCERNED FOR THE MIDDLE CLASS THROUGHOUT THE WORLD)
You need to stop pretending that the hacked e-mails from a few scientists has proven global warming to be a hoax. They have not.
(YES THEY HAVE..BECAUSE IN YOUR ESSAY YOU QUOTE IPCC FIGURES..THE MAIN CONTRIBUTOR TO THE IPCC WAS CRU..GET THAT THROUGH YOUR THICK SKULL..THE THOUSANDS OF SCIENTISTS YOU TALK ABOUT HAVE BEEN USING BULLSHIT NUMBERS FROM THE CRU..THINK ABOUT IT)
The work of a few scientists pales by comparison to the hundreds of thousands of studies done by tens of thousands of scientists all coming to the same conclusion — the Earth is getting warmer. Short-term trends do not disprove long-term scenarios and a few bad apples don’t spoil tens of thousands in the bunch.
(THERE ARE NOT TENS OF THOUSANDS..THATS ANOTHER CRAP FIGURE USED BY AL GORE AND MONKEYED BY YOURSELF)
If you can explain how hacked e-mails prove that the polar ice caps are not melting at an alarming rate, that would be something.
(PROOVE TO ME HOW THEY ARE MELTING..WITHOUT USING ANY NUMBERS FROM THE IPCC????..THE INDIAN MINISTER SAID THEY ARE NOT MELTING..ONE WEEK AGO..OR DID YOU MISS THAT POST??))
Early in the twentieth century the prevailing notion was that people could alter climates locally, for example cutting down forests and plowing fields, but not on a global scale.
(ABSOLUTE LIE..QUOTE YOUR SOURCE PLEASE)
A few pioneering thinkers suggested the increasing amount of pollution produced by the Industrial Revolution could cause global warming. But it was not until the world started taking precise measurements of carbon dioxide from a mountain in Hawaii in the late 1950s that it was possible to confirm the link with a rise in temperatures.
(MORE BULLSHIT..THEY SPOKE OF ICE AGE BACK THEN NOT WARMING)
Carbon dioxide and other gases such as methane make up a tiny part of the atmosphere but are key to keeping in the world’s heat, rather like the glass of a greenhouse.
(WHO SAYS SO?..THE IPCC?)
As the gases increase more heat is trapped, like a blanket, causing the greenhouse gas effect.
(PIGS FLY TO )
Scientists have proved the theory by looking at 800,000 years of ice cores which show how much carbon was in the atmosphere and what the temperature was.
(PILTDOWN MAN WAS REAL TO FOR 40 YEARS UNTIL THEY FOUND OUT IT WAS A HOAX..NO DIFFERENT HERE..THE HAVE NO IDEA WHAT HAPPENED 800K YEARS AGO..)
Computer models, that can account for changes in weather patterns and solar activity, have also been used to show the link between greenhouse gases and temperature rise.
(COMPUTER MODELS USING DODGY NUMBERS FROM THE IPCC THROUGH THE CRU = A DODGY RESULT..WHY CANT YOU SEE IT?..YOUR BIAS IS SAD..NOW WE WAIT FOR NASA TO TRY AND HIDE THEIR FIGURES..THE GIG IS UP HARRY..SORRY)
I WONT BOTHER RELYING TO THE NEXT POST AS IT INVOLVES THE MET WHO GOT THEIR NUMBERS FROM THE IPCC AS WELL THEREFORE THEIR NUMBERS ARE RUBBISH AS WELL..ITS ROTTEN AT THE CORE HARRY..THATS WHY CRU AND EMAILS ARE SO VERY IMPORTANT..WETHER YOU WANT TO ADMIT IT OR NOT..THE REST OF THE WORLD KNOWS ITS VITAL..AS PEER REVIEW IS DEAD FOR THIS “SCIENCE”..DEAD
AND THERE IS NO REASON YOU CANT BE HARRY4PRESIDENT..JUST BECAUSE YOU LIVE IN CANADA NOW..THATS NO ALIBI..YOU HAVE YOUR MOTIVES HARRY AND UNTIL YOU COME CLEAN WE DONT BELIEVE YOU ..PEACE
seeker you have backed yourself up very well with sources and data links – yes all roads go back to CRU. Let’s check this data out for ourselves…oh damn we can’t they THREW it out! Wonder if NASA will come clean. Piltdown Hoax all the way.
yes the CRU destroyed the raw data..handy that eh harry?
Anyone seeking to understand climate change and anthropogenic greenhouse warming is well advised to read not only the current literature, but also the key scientific papers of earlier eras. History is particularly relevant since, over timescales of decades and centuries, ideas about the climate have been changing faster than the physical climate system. Thus, students of climate dynamics should also be well read in science dynamics—the change of scientific ideas and practices over time.
When Al Gore was just five years old, Time Magazine and Popular Mechanics were running articles on the work of physicist Gilbert N. Plass.
From Time Magazine – May 25. 1953
Science: Invisible Blanket
In the hungry fires of industry, modern man burns nearly 2 billion tons of coal and oil each year. Along with the smoke and soot of commerce, his furnaces belch some 6 billion tons of unseen carbon dioxide into the already tainted air. By conservative estimate, the earth’s atmosphere, in the next 127 years, will contain 50% more CO².
This spreading envelope of gas around the earth, says Johns Hopkins Physicist Gilbert N. Plass, serves as a great greenhouse. Transparent to the radiant heat from the sun, it blocks the longer wave lengths of heat that bounce back from the earth. At its present rate of increase, says Plass, the CO² in the atmosphere will raise the earth’s average temperature 1.5° Fahrenheit every 100 years.
As the blanket of CO² gets thicker, it also prevents the tops of clouds from losing heat as rapidly as before. The smaller temperature difference between cloud base and top cuts down the air currents which must circulate through the cloud before rain or snow can form. Lowered rainfall will make a drier climate. Less cloud cover will be formed, more sunlight will reach the earth, and the average temperature will rise still higher.
After thousands of years, says Professor Plass, plants and the slow-moving seas will absorb most of the excess CO². But for centuries to come, if man’s industrial growth continues, the earth’s climate will continue to grow warmer.
From Popular Mechanics Magazine – August 1953 edition:
Growing Blanket of Carbon Dioxide Raises Earth’s Temperature
Earth’s ground temperature is rising 1½ degrees a century as a result of carbon dioxide discharged from the burning of about 2,000,000,000 tons of coal and oil yearly. According to Dr. Gilbert N. Plass of the Johns Hopkins University, this discharge augments a blanket of gas around the world which is raising the temperature in the same manner glass heats a greenhouse. By 2080, he predicts the air’s carbon-dioxide content will double, resulting in an average temperature rise of at least four percent. If most of man’s industrial growth were over a period of several thousand years, instead of being crowded within the last century, oceans would have absorbed most of the excess carbon dioxide. But because of the slow circulation of the seas, they have had little effect in reducing the amount of the gas as man’s smoke-making abilities have multiplied over the past hundred years.
Gilbert Plass himself wrote an article summarizing his work for Scientific American magazine. It was published in the July 1959 edition:
Carbon Dioxide and Climate
A current theory postulates that carbon dioxide regulates the temperature of the earth. This raises an interesting question: How do Man’s activities influence the climate of the future?
The carbon dioxide and other gases in the atmosphere are virtually transparent to the visible radiation that delivers the sun’s energy to the earth. But the earth in turn re-radiates much of the energy in the invisible infrared region of the spectrum. This radiation is most intense at wavelengths very close to the principal absorption band (13 to 17 microns) of the carbon dioxide spectrum. When the carbon dioxide concentration is sufficiently high, even its weaker absorption bands become effective, and a greater amount of infrared radiation is absorbed. Because the carbon dioxide blanket prevents its escape into space, the trapped radiation warms up the atmosphere.
We shall be able to test the carbon dioxide theory against other theories of climatic change quite conclusively during the next half-century. Since we now can measure the sun’s energy output independent of the distorting influence of the atmosphere, we shall see whether the earth’s temperature trend correlates with measured fluctuations in solar radiation. [...] But if carbon dioxide is the most important factor, long-term temperature records will rise continuously as long as man consumes the earth’s reserves of fossil fuels.
Physicist Gilbert N. Plass wasn’t the first scientist to think about this stuff.
Fourier (in 1824) and Pouillet (in 1838) were among the first to realize that the Earth’s atmosphere obstructs the passage of infrared radiation while being transparent to visible light from the Sun. From this, they concluded that one might expect the atmosphere to have a warming effect on the Earth.
These early ideas were put on a solid experimental footing by John Tyndall in 1861. He measured the infrared absorption of various gases using a spectrophotometer, and found that certain trace gases in the Earth’s atmosphere, such as water vapor and carbon dioxide, were responsible for most of the infrared absorption. That is, these trace gases were responsible for most of the warming effect. It turned out that the most abundant atmospheric gases, N2 and O2, absorb very little radiation at infrared wavelengths.
The first detailed numerical calculations of the heating effect of CO2 on the Earth’s atmosphere were performed by Svante Arrhenius, and published in 1896. He didn’t have the benefits of modern computer technology, and performed the entire calculation by hand.
The calculation took him several years; his wife left him halfway through it.
He calculated that temperature varies logarithmically with CO2 concentration over the range he studied, and that a doubling of CO2 concentration would result in a temperature increase of 5°C–6°C. He had very incomplete spectroscopic data to work with, but this very early result is within a factor of two of the modern value of a 3° C temperature rise per doubling of atmospheric CO2 concentration [3].
An interesting next step was taken by Callendar in a 1938 paper. Callendar had collated historical temperature data, and along with these he had brought together data on atmospheric CO2 concentrations and fossil fuel use. He found a rising CO2 concentration in his CO2 data, and calculated that this could explain the rising temperature he had found in the weather record. Some of his data were weak, and his findings weren’t conclusive, but they served to draw attention to the question of man-made carbon dioxide emissions and rising temperatures.
If you are unsure about who to trust about melting ice, ask an old Eskimo. Ask any First Nations elder what they think about global warming.
deleted – spamming..you posted that sermon a month ago..thanks