Foreign Policy experts discuss ways to avert future genocide..”experts”?

http://www.nytimes.com/2012/07/25/world/clinton-and-other-experts-discuss-ways-to-avert-genocide.html?_r=1

Against the backdrop of memorials to historic atrocities, a group of foreign policy experts, among them Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton, gathered at the Holocaust Memorial Museum on Tuesday to consider modern threats of genocide and how to prevent them.

With the specter of mounting violence in some countries, the threat of future mass killings was a prime concern.

“The United States and our partners must act before the wood is stacked or the match is struck,” Mrs. Clinton said, “because when the fire is at full blaze, our options for responding are considerably costlier and more difficult.”

She and others who appeared at the symposium focused on the practical steps that might be taken to identify places where genocide can occur and to pre-empt it. The risk of mass killings goes up in nations where resources are scarce and governments are fragile or autocratic, they agreed.

In her speech, Mrs. Clinton cited Rwanda and Bosnia, two nations where she said genocide occurred during her husband’s presidency, as examples of why the risk of mass atrocities must be addressed before they occur — by identifying warning signs, sending State Department employees to areas that are at risk and reaching out to women in communities who might warn of early signs of trouble, among other tactics.

Mrs. Clinton also echoed the themes touched on by President Obama in a speech he delivered at the museum in April in which he announced the creation of the Atrocity Prevention Board to shape the administration’s strategies on this issue. Mrs. Clinton acknowledged that some people might be skeptical about the effectiveness of the board, which met for the first time shortly after the president’s announcement, but said she envisioned it as a means to “galvanize efforts across our government to focus on prevention, to ensure that all our tools and resources are being put to good use.”

No one minimized the challenge. “We must remain open to the possibility that the past is not necessarily a predictor of where and when mass atrocities will occur, or the means by which they will,” said Chris Kojm, chairman of the National Intelligence Council, a government agency, which will release its first estimate on the threat of genocide and mass killings later this year.

But he said that there were certain reliable indicators that genocide or mass killing would occur, including unmet demand for food, water and energy, and that the report would look at those factors in assessing risk.

Demand for all of those is on the rise, and by 2030, nearly half the world’s population will live in areas of “severe water stress,” Mr. Kojm predicted, thus increasing the likelihood of mass killings.

In areas where there are disproportionate numbers of young men, Mr. Kojm said, the risk of genocide also rises. And, in much the same way that democracies are less likely to go to war than autocracies are, so too, participants said, are autocratically governed countries more likely to engage in genocide or other mass atrocities.

Climate change acts as a “multiplier of other resource crises,” according to Timothy Snyder, a professor of history at Yale University, causing uncertainty about resources, leading to “the ecological panic that I’m afraid will lead to mass killings in the decades to come,” Mr. Snyder told the symposium.

“We’ve entered into this moment of ecological panic,” he said. “Global warming will itself almost certainly directly cause mass killing, but it will likely indirectly cause it” as major states like China and the United States seek to feed their citizens, possibly touching off shortages elsewhere, in places that would then be at risk. China has already begun to act and, in a potential harbinger of future problems, has been investing in farmland in Ukraine and in parts of Africa for a few years.

————

since when are foreign ministers experts on genocide? they arent..and then they try their hands at climate science as well..and then make the breathtaking call:

“Global warming will itself almost certainly directly cause mass killing”

what a joke..

401

~ by seeker401 on July 31, 2012.

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