Limited options for US to tackle North Korea

http://www.globaltimes.cn/content/1040827.shtml

As the North Korea nuclear crisis drags on without a solution, it is natural that the US new administration tries to seek a breakthrough. However, Washington needs to see clearly the crux of the issue.

The issue appears to be simple: That Pyongyang is determined to develop nuclear weapon as well as medium and long-ranged missiles. And the solution shouldn’t be difficult. Under certain logic, China should exert more pressure on the North to force it to accept Beijing’s request: Pyongyang abandoning its nuclear program, while the country is saved.

But the Korean Peninsula and the whole Northeast Asia have been entangled in complicated interests. Put aside Pyongyang, the three countries of China, Japan and South Korea are also stuck in deep contradictions with cold relationships with each other.

The US must bear the major responsibilities for the mess in Northeast Asia, as it has buried too much strategic distrust in the region. For North Korea to abandon its nuclear ambition voluntarily, it must be convinced the major powers can collectively guarantee its security. But Pyongyang now trusts nothing but nuclear weapons. Despite rounds of sanctions, as long as the regime can hang on, it is unlikely to surrender.

Before Trump, each US administration generally followed the path of escalating sanctions and military threats over Pyongyang while strengthening security commitments to Seoul. Washington has never tried to seriously communicate with Pyongyang and urge it to abandon its nuclear program by relieving Pyongyang’s security anxiety.

When the old strategy doesn’t work, Washington blames China for not cooperating with it. China in fact has imposed very stringent sanctions against North Korea. The accusations are used to defend Washington’s failed policy.

Washington’s options to tackle Pyongyang are very limited. Piling more sanctions on North Korea could only produce less and less desired effect. There is little room to expand the use of sanction leverage. If the US resorts to military approach, even without consideration of the reactions of China and Russia, South Korea is very likely to be the first one to break. The top commitment Washington has made to Seoul is security. But it’s very likely an armed strike on Pyongyang will cause a large-scale military retaliation of it against Seoul, thus Washington’s authority will be undermined.

If the US really wants to solve the North Korean nuclear problem, it should work to reduce divergences and foster consensus among relevant countries. It needs to open up communication channels with Pyongyang so as to gain some maneuvering room.

———-

this article is basically the chinese government talking..global times is their mouthpiece..

“The US must bear the major responsibilities for the mess in Northeast Asia, as it has buried too much strategic distrust in the region. For North Korea to abandon its nuclear ambition voluntarily, it must be convinced the major powers can collectively guarantee its security.”

the new US administration needs a war of some sort..will it be north korea or do we keep playing the bluff game for another decade?

401

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~ by seeker401 on April 7, 2017.

6 Responses to “Limited options for US to tackle North Korea”

  1. “For North Korea to abandon its nuclear ambition voluntarily, it must be convinced the major powers can collectively guarantee its security.”

    Outside government intervention. North Korea’s sovereignty would be lost. Some of this is pure boasting of pride. How are other nations going to convince North Korea that it can be protected by an outside mighty strengthen? It is similar to what the U.S. is doing now with the war in Syria. A show of strength. Makes others think twice. How could North Korea feel comfortable by a stronger, external power? One that has to demonstrate they are looking out for the best interests of North Korea, but how?

    North Korea is responsible for their sin, but what China is calling for in the quote above is an “outside government” (outside of North Korea) that will demonstrate and convince North Korea that “they” can be their power, i.e. government. Again, that means North Korea would have to give up some, which essentially will be all, of their sovereignty. The UN maybe? An Asian type of the European Union?

  2. Reblogged this on World Peace Forum.

  3. Big nuke drill in NY area next week

  4. LA, SF. NY and other cities

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